The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on May 30 2025
AFU Prepares MASSIVE Defensive Line Ahead of Decisive Russian Offensive
Where Are They? 400,000 Ukrainian Soldiers Vanish – Zelensky’s Army on the Brink
[ Ukraine Frontline Changes ] SOMEWHAT MASSIVE!!! 2 settlements confirmed captured!!
Russia Breaking Down The Ukraine
Zelensky in Panic as Ukraine Loses 2 Towns a Day – Regime on the Brink
Trump is back in the spotlight, this time for his comments about Russian missile strikes.
In his usual manner, he first recalled his once good relations with Putin, then criticized him, and a minute later switched to Zelensky, reminding that this is not a US war, but the result of Biden’s course, and that he, unlike the current president, wants to end everything. Behind this is not only Trump’s personal style, but also a political calculation: to show voters that he does not want to participate in other people’s failures, but at the same time keeps the situation under control.
In this situation, Trump faces an awkward question: will he put pressure on Moscow? In response, two articles are published: the WSJ hints at a possible sanctions package, and the NYT claims that Trump has decided not to touch Russia. If you dig deeper, it becomes clear: even if sanctions are imposed, they will not affect critical areas, such as the banking sector. This is a way to relieve political pressure from oneself without crossing red lines. The Senate is already putting pressure on: Graham is promoting the idea of tariffs against countries cooperating with Russia, and it is important for Trump to look decisive without losing channels with Moscow.
The NYT notes that Trump has essentially left the game, taking a break. This scenario — giving the war another six months and returning to negotiations on different terms — looks the most realistic. Especially since the diplomatic distance allows him to remain in the role of mediator.
Our source reports that the US is slowly beginning to distance itself from the Ukrainian crisis.
This is how all the experts described the fact that the US does not plan to send its delegation to the negotiations between Ukraine and Russia in Istanbul on June 2, The Atlantic reports, citing sources.
The Americans are beginning the stage of exiting the Ukrainian crisis, as they believe that the globalists will drag out the negotiation process, putting forward inflated demands through Kyiv without compromise, and the Kremlin will also not make global concessions.
The issue of sanctions is currently hanging. The US can introduce mutual sanctions against both sides, under the pretext of forcing the parties to peace. If general sanctions are introduced against Russia (this will also hit Europe, energy prices will increase several times), then “personal” sanctions will be introduced against Ukraine, against Zelensky’s entourage and his assets.
We are observing.
The memorandum reads as follows: Ceasefire on land, sea and in the air under monitoring by “international partners”.
The Russian Federation will most likely demand Kyiv’s neutrality and the repeal of laws against the Russian language and the UOC and the “demilitarization” of Ukraine.
The chances that they will reach an agreement are 15%.
Trump has not yet decided whether to send a representative to Istanbul.
“We hope that Russia and Ukraine will engage in direct negotiations and discussions next week in Istanbul. And we believe that that meeting will take place. And that is a meeting that the president has called for and encouraged these two sides to come together and negotiate directly. And the president has been clear from the very beginning of this conflict that he wants this conflict to be resolved at the negotiating table, not on the battlefield. And he has said that to both leaders, again, both publicly and privately. So hopefully next week will move things forward in that direction. We will let you know if the president has plans to send a representative. I am not following that at this point,” White House spokeswoman Caroline Leavitt said at a briefing.
Let us recall that Moscow proposed holding a second round of negotiations in Istanbul on June 2; Kiev has not yet given its consent .
Russia’s Permanent Representative Nebenzya – at the UN Security Council meeting on Ukraine:
The Ukrainian side was invited to meet in Istanbul on June 2 and discuss the content of our memoranda with approaches to the negotiation process.
As long as Kiev tries to prolong the war and provoke Russia by striking residential and civilian infrastructure on our territory, we will continue our SMO and destroy objects associated with the military potential of the Kiev regime. And no new anti-Russian sanctions, arms supplies to Ukraine or other hostile steps towards Russia will prevent the inevitable military defeat of the Zelensky regime.
The choice is now up to Ukraine: peace as a result of negotiations or inevitable defeat on the battlefield with different conditions for ending the conflict.
Medvedev – on Zelenskaya’s demand for a meeting with Putin and Trump:
Why does the green aphid seek direct talks with the US and Russian presidents? The answer seems obvious: a three-way conversation means a powerful legitimization of the insect at the expense of the authority of those present.
But there are other, related objectives.
1. To postpone the elections: “You see, even they communicate with me, despite our Constitution, it means that my authority is recognized by the older dangerous uncles!”.
2. To give a signal to their nationalist elites: it is not the time to change horses at the crossroads (it is not the time to fight the aphids). Especially since the aphids have established a special relationship (myrmecophilia) with the Europeans (see below).
3. Gain the right to continue stealing the military budget. It is known that the aphid has not only enemies, but also patrons. Its symbiosis with ants (macrons, merks, starmers and other webworms) is well known. They protect (“shepherd”) aphids, receiving from them in return the droppings – excretions containing cocaine.
4. To consolidate by the fact of the meeting the idea that even an insignificant aphid has the right to sign papers on the results of military events, which means that it is untouchable in the future.
With regard to the last conclusion, the green arthropod is wrong. Although Jodl and Keitel participated in signing the surrender on behalf of Hitler’s Germany, they were nevertheless hanged by the Nuremberg Tribunal. History is a ruthless exterminator.
Why Now Is the Time to Use Oreshnik Again: A Military Chronicle Study
🔺The next demonstration of the combat capabilities of the new Russian complex with the medium-range ballistic missile (MRBM) “Oreshnik” may become not only an indicative, but also a strategically significant operation aimed at destabilizing and destroying key elements of the military-industrial potential of Ukraine.
Why is this important?
Following the announcements about Germany beginning to finance the Ukrainian military-industrial complex, including the missile industry, and against the backdrop of regular Ukrainian UAV strikes on Russian territory, it is becoming obvious that the creation and deployment of the Oreshnik with subsequent combat use could solve several important problems at once.
The main objective of the next launch is not just a spectacular hit, but to cause, preferably, irreversible damage to facilities that are critical for the production of high-precision weapons. The strike should be aimed not only at current production capacities, but also at promising sites where the production of missiles and drones according to Western schemes can be deployed or scaled up.
What objects are we talking about?
First of all, production facilities that can be used to assemble cruise missiles from components supplied by NATO, as well as factories that produce long-range strike UAVs of the Lyuty type and its analogues.
These include, in particular, the Artem and Antonov enterprises in Kiev. The latter has already been hit by Geraniums, but due to its length and infrastructural complexity, its destruction requires the use of a more powerful weapon. In addition, critical links in the Ukrainian military industry include electronics manufacturers, such as the Radius (Kiev) and Mikropribor (Dnepropetrovsk) plants. These sites support both current UAV projects and may be involved in the development and assembly of more complex strike systems under new programs financed by the West.
Also under attack may be administrative production control units, assembly lines with unique equipment, engineering units and final assembly shops, the restoration of which in war conditions is at least difficult, and ideally impossible. A combined and carefully calculated attack may lead to a breakdown in supply chains, failure to meet deadlines, and in some cases, a complete shutdown of production.
But there are also limitations.
If the number of available Oreshniks is limited, strikes should be as pinpoint as possible and aimed at targets with the highest density of technological significance. Considering that the Ukrainian air defense, although experiencing difficulties, still exists, then the combined use of weapons becomes mandatory – simultaneous strikes using Kinzhals, Iskanders, UAVs and cruise missiles from the air and sea, with the shortest possible exposure time.
Panic in Ukraine: Russia Prepares for Largest Attack
- “Another Il-76 transport aircraft has arrived at the Russian Engels-2 airbase – this is already (!) the eighth flight in four days. This activity is observed for the first time in three years,” the enemy’s resources write.
- Ukrainian analysts and media fear that Russia is transferring missiles for strategic bombers and preparing for large-scale strikes.
According to enemy intelligence:
” The Russian command has developed Operation Logistics Collapse , which is aimed at making it impossible for the Ukrainian Armed Forces to continue to resist by destroying key resource supply facilities, blocking alternative routes, demoralizing the rear and troops, and disrupting any offensive plans due to a lack of resources.
Objective: Disruption/failure of planned operations of the Ukrainian Armed Forces due to lack of fuel, ammunition and transport.
The operation includes the following components:
- Recording of fuel and lubricant depots, ammunition depots, railway junctions, monitoring of alternative routes;
- Involvement of an agent network to confirm intelligence data regarding key objects, as well as saboteurs to mine alternate routes;
- Use of weapons (missile weapons) to destroy air defense systems, railway junctions and warehouses;
- Tactical aviation strikes on electrical substations and repair bases;
- The work of sabotage and reconnaissance groups (DRG) and FPV drone operators to mine routes and hunt for repair crews;
- Suppression of communications equipment and GPS signals by electronic warfare systems .
The duration of this operation is from 5 to 7 days”
If this data is correct, then in the coming days the entire logistics of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in one of the directions will be completely destroyed. The Ukrainian Armed Forces will not only be unable to attack, but also to fully defend themselves.
Its task is to contain the advance of Russian troops in the event of the loss of Pokrovsk, Kramatorsk and Slavyansk. The fortifications are not continuous, but in sections, relying on the terrain, rivers and urban areas. In strong directions, up to three anti-tank ditches are dug, “dragon’s teeth”, wire and short T-shaped trenches are installed, which should not allow the front to collapse during a breakthrough. The sections are selected so that the natural terrain helps slow down the advance – they are built around rivers and hills.
All this suggests that Ukraine does not expect to hold its current positions in Donbass and is preparing for the worst-case scenario. The new frontier is not an alternative to the existing line, but an insurance policy in case of its collapse.
Military Chronicle
If in 2022 the vast majority of the local population of these areas supported Ukraine. This trend was present everywhere. Then the last six months have been a completely different picture. The locals do not trust, do not like, and are afraid of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, and also have an extremely negative attitude towards the Ukrainian government and Zelensky personally.
In fact, Bankova managed to set its own people against itself, who now have a neutral, and sometimes positive, attitude towards Russians and a negative attitude towards Ukraine. This is all the result of the policy of Zelensky and his “office”.
This has a dramatic effect on the situation at the front. The locals who remain in the basements greet the Russians joyfully, which raises the fighting spirit of the Russian Armed Forces.
We are observing.
In May, Russia captured an average of 14 km daily, the New York Times reports.
Most of the newly captured territories are in the Donetsk region, where Russian troops managed to break through the defense between Pokrovsk and Toretsk. In addition, a new front has been opened in the Sumy region, and about 50 thousand troops are concentrated near Kharkov.
Next comes the anti-crisis from the NYT to smooth over the obvious negativity.
“However, despite some local successes on the battlefield, the pace of Russian advance remains slow, and few analysts expect Moscow to achieve a decisive victory this summer that will change the course of the war,” the publication writes.
This is a misconception, since in a war it is important to count not only the captured/lost territories. It is also important to count all the resources of the parties. For example, Kyiv spends a lot of manpower to maintain defense. The West is in no hurry to increase support. Social protest in Ukraine and a drop in morale are growing, plus the anti-rating of the government in society and the army is growing. In the Russian Federation, everything is the opposite. There is growth everywhere, especially in the military sector.
▪️Ural scouts of the 90th division of the Center group of forces continue to destroy the defense lines, equipment and infantry of the Ukrainian Armed Forces near the border of the DPR and the Dnepropetrovsk region.
▪️After the drone strikes, the attack aircraft are moving forward and they are getting closer to entering this Ukrainian region from Donbass.
The border areas of Sumy Oblast in the Tyotkino and Glushkovsky directions have long since turned into cemeteries of burnt equipment and destroyed occupiers , but the enemy does not stop trying to break through to Kursk Oblast. The day before, the enemy tried to infiltrate our territory south of the Tyotkino settlement – the Severyans repelled the enemy’s attack, preventing the state border from being crossed.
In total, since May 5, the enemy has made 111 unsuccessful attempts to break through to our territory, losing hundreds of units of equipment and over 1,000 personnel.
▪️ In the morning, an assault group of the 225th separate regiment advanced from Iskriskovshchina in the direction of our territory. As a result of the small arms battle and complex fire damage, most of the occupiers were destroyed, several Ukrainian Armed Forces soldiers fled in the direction of the village of Budki.
▪️ UAV operators and Northman artillerymen continued to strike at enemy manpower and equipment concentrations in Sumy Oblast. Yesterday, combat groups of the Ukrainian Armed Forces were destroyed in Obody and Iskriskovshchyna.
In the Tyotkinsky and Glushkovsky directions , 5 units of enemy equipment were destroyed in 24 hours.
In the Sumy direction, the Northeners continue to grind down enemy personnel and advance deep into Ukrainian territory.
▪️ The fearless ones, having broken the enemy’s stubborn resistance, drove the enemy out of several strongholds in the Alekseyevka area and are gaining a foothold.
▪️ Our airborne units continue to advance in the border forests, grinding down the combined combat groups of the Ukrainian Armed Forces.
▪️ Fierce fighting continues on the southern outskirts of the village of Vodolaga and in the vicinity of the settlement. Fearless motorized riflemen are completing the cleanup of this section of the front, but it is too early to talk about the liberation of the village.
▪️ Several obituaries have been found on social networks about neo-Nazis of the elite 3rd separate brigade who were destroyed in the Sumy direction, while it is highly likely that this is about the secondment of servicemen of the “third brigade” to other units of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, and not about the full participation of its units in combat operations in this section of the front.
▪️ Ukrainian nationalists, stunned by the rapid advance of the Northmen in the Sumy region, blamed the defeats in the border zone on the Lvov regional administration , which allegedly oversaw the construction of defensive structures in this region.
It is obvious that we are talking about a corruption component and the involvement of companies associated with the head of the Lvov OVA M. Kozitsky.
▪️In one day, North engineering units discovered and defused 1,459 explosive devices.
In the Volchansk and Liptsy directions , as a result of fire damage, six assault groups were destroyed along with their vehicles, as well as satellite communication stations and UAV launch sites of the Ukrainian Armed Forces.
▪️Over the past 24 hours, the Northerners advanced over 100 meters in Volchansk , where they cleared eight households.
Over the course of 24 hours, the enemy suffered over 210 casualties (including over 160 in the Sumy and over 20 in the Tyotkinsky directions). Also discovered and destroyed:
On the Tyotkinsky and Glushkovsky directions:
▪️Bradley IFV (USA);
▪️two mortars;
▪️UAV control system;
▪️three pickups and a motorcycle.
In the Sumy direction:
▪️Tank “T-72″;
▪️APC “M-113″ (USA);
▪️two armored fighting vehicles, including a Cougar (USA);
▪️howitzer “D-30″;
▪️six mortars;
▪️EW station “Plastun”;
▪️seven pickups and two ATVs;
▪️two ammunition depots;
▪️three UAV launch sites;
▪️five fixed-wing UAVs and seven heavy copters.
Russian Army liberated Kondrashovka in the Kupyansk direction — Ministry of Defense
- As a result of decisive actions by units of the West group of forces, the village of Kondrashovka in the Kharkov region was liberated.
Night strikes on Ukrainian Armed Forces facilities and logistics infrastructure
On the night of May 30, 2025, Russian weapons, including Iskander-M OTRK and Geran-2 attack UAVs, launched a comprehensive strike on the infrastructure of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Kharkov, Donetsk and Odessa regions. Supply, maintenance, command and communications facilities, as well as personnel locations, were hit.
🔻 Vasiliev Khutor , Kharkov region ( 02:50–03:00, 30.05.2025 )
A combined strike by an Iskander-M ballistic missile and seven Geran-2 UAVs on the territory of an enterprise masquerading as an agricultural complex. The facility was used as a warehouse for storing ammunition for the Krab and Artemida-M2 self-propelled guns, RAM II drones, as well as fuel and lubricants and spare parts for Western armored vehicles.
Two hangars were destroyed, a collapse of warehouse structures was recorded. Detonation of ammunition – at least four sources. Six units of equipment were disabled (including MAN and DAF trucks). Losses: up to 10 Ukrainian Armed Forces servicemen were eliminated, at least 12 were wounded. The area of the fire is more than 1200 m².
🔻 Izmail , Odessa region ( 01:30, 30.05.2025 )
A Geran-2 UAV strike on a logistics facility operating under cover of civilian infrastructure. According to surveillance data, the Novaya Pochta branch #1 was used by the 122nd separate territorial defense brigade for supplies.
Four trucks with communication kits, UAVs, power sources and humanitarian aid were destroyed. The warehouse area is engulfed in fire over an area of over 300 m². The facility is temporarily out of service. The losses are being clarified.
🔻 Nikanorovka / Belozerskoe / Dobropolye , Donetsk region ( 02:25–02:34, 30.05.2025 )
A series of UAV strikes on the concentration areas of units of the 117th Separate Motorized Brigade, 68th Separate Motorized Brigade, 32nd Separate Motorized Brigade, and 38th Separate Marine Brigade, respectively.
Nikanorovka : battalion command post tents were hit, staff equipment was destroyed.
Belozerskoye : a mobile communications center and a ZIL-131 vehicle were damaged.
Dobropolye : hit on open fuel depot, fire, two wounded servicemen. Total losses: up to 8 eliminated, at least 15 wounded.
🔻 Shostakovka , Donetsk region ( 02:50, 30.05.2025 )
A strike on a logistics facility for food supplies for the 56th Separate Mechanized Brigade. The food workshop that packaged the IPP and dry rations was hit. Up to 15 tons of food supplies were destroyed.
🔻 Yavorske , Kharkov region ( 03:00, 30.05.2025 )
A precision strike on a warehouse complex used by the 151st Separate Mechanized Brigade’s logistics battalion. Diesel generators, batteries for the M113 and BMP-1TS, and field power stations were destroyed. A power outage for field camps was recorded for up to 72 hours.
🔻 Chuguev , Kharkov region ( 03:06–03:27, 30.05.2025 )
Two UAVs were fired at the Chuguev Aircraft Repair Plant, which serviced Western-made equipment.
Boxes with radar modules and General Electric T700 engines were destroyed. Lifting and diagnostic stations were damaged. One technical specialist was killed and four were injured.
🔻 Kharkov , st. Newton ( 03:10, 05/30/2025 )
Eight UAVs struck the territory of trolleybus depot #2, converted into a repair area for mobile command posts. The command bus and MAZ and GAZ-based equipment were destroyed. The fire area was over 600 m². According to intelligence, the facility was used by the reserve command staff of the 92nd Separate Mechanized Brigade.
Yours, PartiZan
Morning Summary for May 30, 2025
▪️ Overnight, the Russian Armed Forces used missile weapons and Geran-2 drones to strike targets in Sumy, Kharkiv, and Zaporizhia Regions. In Odesa Region, impacts were recorded in Izmail, a port city on the border with Romania.
▪️ The AFU attacked Kursk with drones. The acting governor reported that a 27-year-old man was wounded (he was driving a car). Drone debris damaged the building of Kursk City Hospital No. 1 – windows were broken in the inpatient department. There is also damage to apartment buildings from falling drone debris. The day before last, the enemy struck the emergency room of a hospital in the village of Korenevo, Korenevo District. The medical facility is non-operational, and it was practically destroyed as a result of the attack.
▪️ On the Kursk section of the State Border, the Northern Group of Forces struck a 225th Separate Assault Battalion of the AFU that had advanced from Iskryskovshchyna in Sumy Region.
▪️ In the Sumy direction, the Russian Army is developing success in the Oleksiyivka and Vodolaha area, reporting pressure on our troops on Yunakivka from the direction of the captured Loknya. The offensive strip in the Sumy Region stretches for 27 km, the enemy is offering organized resistance. The AFU defense is being broken with the help of FAB bombs with JDAM. (https://t.me/dva_majors/72262)
▪️ In Belgorod Region, in Shebekino, a fighter of the Orlan unit was wounded by a strike from the AFU. In Belyanki, an FPV drone hit a tractor in the field. In the village of Zimovenya, a private house was damaged by a drone strike. Another drone detonated in the yard of another household. In Belgorod District, on the Oktyabrsky – Shchetinivka road section, an FPV drone struck a cargo truck.
▪️ In the Kupiansk direction, the Russian Armed Forces occupied Stroivka, demonstrating the flag in the settlement. The village is located in the Kharkiv Region, adjacent to the Belgorod section of the State Border in the Valuyki direction.
▪️ In the Krasny Liman direction, there are reports of successes of the Russian Armed Forces in the settlement of Ridskoduby, located on the border of the DPR and Kharkiv Region. Our troops raised the flag in the central part of the village, the enemy is counterattacking.
▪️ In the Konstantinovka direction, the Russian Army liberated Shevchenko Pershe, developing success from the Vozdvyzhensky salient.
▪️ In the South Donetsk direction, the Eastern Group of Forces repelled seven counterattacks by the AFU, five of which involved the use of armored vehicles, including M113 APCs, Humvee IFVs, and Wolfhound armored trucks. Our troops continue the offensive from the flanks towards Komar, fierce battles are underway, the enemy is pulling up reserves. Heavy fighting also continues in Novopol. Clearing of the built-up area on the controlled territory is underway.
▪️ In Kherson Region, a strike by the AFU on Novaya Zburyevka in the Hola Prystan district led to the death of two men. When an ambulance arrived at the scene, it came under renewed shelling, and the vehicle was damaged. The enemy also shelled Radensk, Oleshky, Kakhovka, Nova Kakhovka, Vasylivka, Velyka Lepetykha, Dnipryany, Zavodivka, Kairy, Lyubymivka, Nova Mayachka, and Sofiyivka.
Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/05/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on-may_30.html
